Ransomware-as-a-Service (RaaS) Trends

Industrialization of Ransomware

Ransomware has moved far beyond random opportunistic attacks. The RaaS (Ransomware-as-a-Service) model allows specialized developers to create and lease high-grade encryption payloads to "affiliates" who focus purely on intrusion and execution.

Observed Evolution (2023–2026)

• Triple extortion is now standard: encrypt → exfiltrate → DDoS until payment
• Leak sites have become professional media portals with countdown timers, victim branding, and SEO optimization
• Affiliate programs offer tiered commissions (often 70–90% to the affiliate)
• Many groups now provide "customer support" portals for victims
• Increasing use of double/triple initial access brokers (IABs) to sell RDP/compromised accounts

Key RaaS Families Still Active (Q4 2025 – Q1 2026)

• LockBit 3.0 / successors (despite law enforcement disruption)
• BlackCat / ALPHV (multiple rebrands after seizures)
• Play / PlayCrypt
• BianLian
• Medusa
• RansomHub (aggressive new entrant)

Recommended Defensive Posture

1. Assume breach — segment networks and limit lateral movement (Zero Trust)
2. Immutable / air-gapped backups tested quarterly
3. Restrict high-privilege accounts (just-in-time / just-enough-access)
4. Deploy EDR with strong behavioral rules and ransomware canary files
5. Block common initial access vectors: RDP exposure, unpatched VPNs, malicious Office macros
6. Monitor for signs of data staging / exfiltration (unusual large outbound transfers)
7. Prepare public affairs & legal response playbook before an incident